Valdosta, Georgia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

232
FXUS62 KTAE 031709
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1209 PM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 400 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

Dry and cool conditions are expected to continue through the near
term. A shortwave is forecast to push another front into the
southeast CONUS today and tonight before the front eventually washes
out. This could lead to slightly cooler highs once again across the
northern portions of the area, with high temps area-wide ranging
from the mid 50s to the low 60s. Lows overnight are forecast in the
upper 20s to low 30s inland and low to mid 30s along the coast
thanks to efficient radiational cooling.

As a reminder, regular freeze warnings have been discontinued for
the area (except coastal portions of Walton, Bay, Gulf, and Franklin
counties) through March 15 since we had widespread freezing
temperatures Sunday morning. From this point on this winter, a
freeze warning will only be issued for a hard freeze (temps 25F or
lower).

&&

.SHORT AND TERM TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 400 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

The shortwave train continues as troughiness over eastern CONUS
allows mid-level disturbances to continue reinforcing the current
pattern. A potent shortwave dives south from the northern latitudes
across the Great Lakes region Wednesday into Thursday. This will
result in a rush of cold, dry, dense air to once again push across
the southeast in the form of a cold front. There may be enough
moisture return across coastal counties along the FL Panhandle to
spark a few thunderstorms as southwest flow pushes dew points into
the upper 50s to low 60s. With an LLJ around 30 knots, it wouldn`t
be surprising to see some spinners offshore attempting to approach
the coastal plain before falling apart in a more stable
environment.

Otherwise, post-frontal we`ll see the region succumb to another
round of chilly air Friday and Saturday before winds clock back
around to being out of the south-southeast on Sunday. This southeast
flow will allow for a gradual warm up into early next week, where we
could see widespread temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s during
the day. The ensemble guidance splits at this point and there lies
uncertainty beyond Monday on how the synoptic pattern will evolve.
It does seem fair to say that the current pattern will end this
weekend as ridging across western CONUS breaks down. This could mean
either troughiness amplifies over western CONUS with ridging
amplifying over eastern CONUS or just troughiness across the entire
country... for our sake lets hope it`s the former.


&&


.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1154 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

A dry cold frontal passage has prompted intermittent breezy
northerly winds at the TAF sites this aftn. Light northerly
conditions expected shortly after sunset. Otherwise, VFR
conditions are expected at all the terminals, light/variable and
perhaps even calm conditions wind condition may occur overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 400 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

Winds will be from a different direction each day as several cold
fronts move across the region throughout the week. The strongest
front looks to move across the northeast Gulf late Thursday into
Friday morning bringing with it Cautionary to borderline Advisory
level northwest winds. Conditions then improve heading into
Saturday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 400 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

Dry and cool conditions are expected through the period. Humidity
should remain above critical thresholds, and there are no fire
weather concerns at this point.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 400 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 400 AM EST Tue Dec 3 2024

The shortwave train continues as troughiness over eastern CONUS
allows mid-level disturbances to continue reinforcing the current
pattern. A potent shortwave dives south from the northern latitudes
across the Great Lakes region Wednesday into Thursday. This will
result in a rush of cold, dry, dense air to once again push across
the southeast in the form of a cold front. There may be enough
moisture return across coastal counties along the FL Panhandle to
spark a few thunderstorms as southwest flow pushes dew points into
the upper 50s to low 60s. With an LLJ around 30 knots, it wouldn`t
be surprising to see some spinners offshore attempting to approach
the coastal plain before falling apart in a more stable
environment.

Otherwise, post-frontal we`ll see the region succumb to another
round of chilly air Friday and Saturday before winds clock back
around to being out of the south-southeast on Sunday. This southeast
flow will allow for a gradual warm up into early next week, where we
could see widespread temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s during
the day. The ensemble guidance splits at this point and there lies
uncertainty beyond Monday on how the synoptic pattern will evolve.
It does seem fair to say that the current pattern will end this
weekend as ridging across western CONUS breaks down. This could mean
either troughiness amplifies over western CONUS with ridging
amplifying over eastern CONUS or just troughiness across the entire
country... for our sake lets hope it`s the former.

There are currently no flooding concerns and this is expected to be
the case through at least this weekend. Minimal rainfall is expected
over the next week.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   29  59  41  69 /   0   0   0  20
Panama City   35  62  51  71 /   0   0  10  30
Dothan        29  58  43  60 /   0   0  20  30
Albany        26  57  39  61 /   0   0  10  20
Valdosta      27  59  39  68 /   0   0   0  10
Cross City    29  62  39  72 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  38  60  51  71 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM EST Wednesday for GAZ120>127-
     142-144.

AL...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CST Wednesday for
     ALZ065>067.

GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...Bowser
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Oliver